We're all set for the New Year's Six, with a slate of games that is set to entertain us from start to finish.
Our resident College Football expert, Ian Gold from the House Edge Podcast, has cast his eye over all six games, providing a pick for each.
As well as Ian, we've also run our predictive analytics model over every game, running 10,000 simulations on each one. Click on the predicted score for more in-depth probabilities around the spread, moneyline, and over/under!
Let's get into all six games and the predicted scores for each one👇
Florida is missing a lot, just about every explosive athlete you've heard of on offense is opting to remain safe for the upcoming NFL Draft. I'm willing to bet the Florida guys you've never heard of, along with the defense and Kyle Trask aren't 8.5 points worse than the ultimate New Years 6 Perennial Pretender, Oklahoma.
It's been a magical ride for Cincinnati this year. Although undefeated, and locked out of the College Football Playoff, the Bearcats, Luke Fickel, and quarterback Desmond Ritter have an awful lot to prove. The last few Cinderella underdogs like UCF and Boise State come to mind, and even though I think Georgia is better, I like Cincy with the 7 points.
Notre Dame shouldn't be here, and they're about to be embarrassed. Alabama by a million. That's more than 19.5, so Roll Tide! Alabama is significantly better at every single position, and Saban won't be playing around letting Ian Book get confidence after the ACC Championship laugher.
Seems like Clemson and Ohio State play every CFP doesn't it? Well Clemson has won the last couple, even last year when they didn't have the better team. This year, they do, and I think Trevor Lawrence & Co. get ahead of Ohio State and force Fields into too many mistakes. Clemson wins by more than 7.5, and I'm not sure you sweat the 4th quarter.
I'm trying to figure out how Iowa State is favored here, and the only thing I can think of is coaching advantage. Oklahoma used its speed to jump on Iowa State early, and Oregon is faster in the skill positions and back 7. Take Oregon on the moneyline and get that value.
Texas A&M was a 1-loss SEC team left out of the College Football Playoff. They deserved to be in Notre Dame's shoes, with a rematch against Alabama. In recent memory, that hasn't worked out well (thinking of you, Georgia). I want to say A&M covers the 7.5 points, but I'm not confident they'll be playing for much. Thinking of the over here at 65.5.
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