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2023 NBA Finals: Same Game Parlay for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 1

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
2023 NBA Finals: Same Game Parlay for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets Game 1

The NBA Finals are here, kicking off with the Denver Nuggets hosting the Miami Heat in Game 1. As we have all throughout the NBA playoffs, we've matched our NBA player prop predictions against the sportsbook lines to deliver you our best Heat vs. Nuggets Same Game Parlay. Read on for our full analysis below.

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NBA Same Game Parlay Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets

THREE-LEG NBA PARLAY PICKS

Michael Porter Jr. Over 15.5 Points

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 1.5 Threes

Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Points

+455 Heat vs. Nuggets Parlay Analysis

Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets, 8:30PM ET

LEG 1: Michael Porter Jr Over 15.5 Points

In last year's Finals, Andrew Wiggins came away as the unlikely hero for the Warriors - could we see it again this year with Michael Porter Jr. Our model is expecting Porter Jr. to not just hit his points prop in Game 1, but to completely destroy it. We're predicting MPJ to go off for 26 points. With so much emphasis on closing off Nikola Jokic in this series with Miami's famous zone defense, look for a guy like Porter to set up camp outside the three-point line in the corners. He's going to get plenty of chances.

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LEG 2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 1.5 Threes

With so much of Miami's success based upon their role players hitting big three-point shots, the formula to go on your way to beating them is simple: outshoot them. KCP will play a pivotal role in fighting with fire, and he'll be looking to keep his hot postseason going where he has shot 41% from deep off an average of five attempts per game. As mentioned above, the focus on Jokic will open up chances on the wings - two triples for Pope is a bare minimum of what bettors should expect. 


LEG 3: Bam Adebayo Over 16.5 Points

Bam Adebayo will have the toughest defensive assignment in basketball when he has to take on Jokic over the next week or so, but if history shows, he shouldn't be too daunted by his ability to have an impact in this series in his own right. Adebayo has proven to be an effective scorer when he matches up with Denver, hitting this line in five of his last seven meetings against the Nuggets, dating back to 2020. Our model predicts 21 points.

Find out who we're betting on for every basketball game, every day via our NBA Bet Hub, where we deliver you NBA predictions and suggested bets, or check out the NBA Betting News section.

Remember to gamble responsibly and set limits on your wagers. It's important to enjoy the game while maintaining control. Only bet what you can afford to lose, and if you feel like gambling is becoming a problem, seek help. Practice responsible gambling and make informed decisions. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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