We're just a week away from April (and you know what that means!) but first we have one of the most fun events on the calendar, with the WGC Match Play taking place at the Austin Country Club.
64 of the world's best players will embark on a journey to make Sunday's final, and a prize for first place of $1,820,000!
Match play tournaments are always hard to narrow down, but thanks to the PGA's fantasy bracket, we've found some nice value on the board, with the odds on sportsbook in particular standing out this week!
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🏌️♂️ Outright winner picks
🏆 Top Pick:
The odds amongst the top guys are quite even this week, with DJ, JT, Bryson and Rahm all at +1400 to win outright.
In saying that, we're going with Rahm who along with the other three guys listed is up there with the most intimidating players to go head-to-head with on the TOUR.
A star for the European side in the Ryder Cup, Rahm's career match play highlights include beating Tiger in the 2018 Ryder Cup and coming second to DJ at this very event back in 2017.
One of the most important factors in the match play tournaments is that you can't be picking players that are prone to the odd poor round and considering Rahm hasn't missed a cut on the PGA Tour for 19 straight events (five more than next best), he is our top pick for the 2021 WGC Match Play.
Match Play is all about the big moments. Check out Rahm's monster putt from the 2020 BMW Championship here👇
💰 Value Bet:
Viktor Hovland is coming off a couple of poor results, but it's rare that his guy keeps up bad form for very long, having had a run three top-fives before disappointing showings at both the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship.
Another European pick for this week, Hovland is yet to debut in the Ryder Cup but will see this week as a great chance to gear up for this year's international battle.
Hovland is the favorite to get through his round robin group, with the biggest threat likely to be Abe Ancer, but if Viktor makes it to the head-to-head stages, anything can happen and at 28/1 and with some wins under his belt recently, he looks a great value play1
Check out his winning highlight's from the recent Mayakoba Classic below👇
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🔮 Dark Horse:
Our third play of the week agains comes from DraftKings Sportsbook who definitely appear to have the best outright winner odds for a few likely types this week.
J-Day is a veteran of this tournament, having won it in both 2014 and 2016.
It's hard to figure out where the dark horse plays lie in a week like this, with the potential for upsets early in the bracket, but with his winning pedigree in this format, 50/1 odds are simply too good to refuse on the Australian.
Check out the highlights from that win here👇
2021 Dark Horse record:
Sungjae Im @ Sentry TOC – T5 (Top 5)
Marc Leishman @ Sony Open – T4 (Top 5)
Cameron Champ @ AmEx – CUT
Corey Conners @ Farmers – T37
Jason Day @ Phoenix – CUT
Harold Varner @ Pebble – CUT
Cameron Smith @ Genesis – 4th (Top 5)
Collin Morikawa @ WGC Workday – WIN
Marc Leishman @ AP Invitational – CUT
Tommy Fleetwood @ PLAYERS - CUT
J.T. Poston @ Honda - CUT
As you can see, we've now had four dark horses place in the Top-5 this season (including an outright winner!!), now this week is a bit different, but it's definitely worth playing Day to win outright and to get through his initial group!
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