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2021 NBA Finals - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns Game Five: Best Betting Picks, Props and Parlay, Saturday July 17, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
The NBA Finals continue with Game Five at the Phoenix Suns Arena on Saturday night with the series tied at two wins apiece!
Saturday, July 17 sees Game 5 of the NBA Finals, and, as always, we've simulated tonight's playoff game 10,000 times, determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's game.
Want even more NBA plays? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
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Here are our bets for tonight's playoff game ⏬
Predicted score after 10,000 simulations
📊 Trends
◼️ The Over is 4-0 in the Milwaukee Bucks last 4 games as an underdog.
◼️ The Phoenix Suns are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
◼️ The Over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
✅ Best Bet
BET: Phoenix Suns at the moneyline with DraftKings Sportsbook (+15000)
📈 66% probability
We're back in Arizona and DimersBOT is back on the Suns. All four games so far this series have been won by the home team and it seems likely that that trend will continue in Game Five!
After simulating the game over 10,000 times, our projections are giving the Suns a 65% chance of winning this game, which combined with the below offer, makes for a KILLER bet.
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Sign up with DraftKings Sportsbook today, then place a $1 bet on either team at the moneyline. If they win, you'll get $150 in free bets!
🧨 Best Prop
PLAYER: Devin Booker
BET: Over 2.5 made threes with DraftKings Sportsbook (-105)
So far these Finals, we've been going back and forth on Book's prop lines and for Game Five, we're taking the Over once again.
With the series back on his home court, we predict he will get back to his shooting best, like he did in Game Two when he shot 7-12 from range.
One Game Parlay
🦁 with BetMGM 🦁
🔥 Suns -4
🔥 Book o2.5 threes
🔥 CP3 o8.5 dimes
💰 +490 with BetMGM
BetMGM is offering a great bonus for players looking to cash in on this One Game Parlay. It does't even matter if you win! Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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