2021 Australian Open Tennis: Day 5 Preview, Picks and Plays

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February 11, 2021 8:21 AM

Grand Slam tennis action continues down under with the Australian Open entering the third round. Our expert has the best bets for a big day.

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Today's action sees us going for three straight up picks with an option to parlay at the end!

ğŸŽ¾  Alex Zverev to beat Adrian Mannarino 3-1 (+250)

 

On the surface Alexander Zverev’s 5-0 record against Adrian Mannerino is quite impressive, but if we dig a little deeper we may be able to find some value for this match. The last three times they have played (all in 2020) Mannerino has taken a set off the young German and pushed him to numerous tie breaks. Zverev also dropped a set in his opening round fixture and is prone to concentration lapses. The +250 available for Zverev to win 3-1 looks quite appealing.

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ğŸŽ¾  Grigor Dimitrov to beat Pablo Carreno Busta (-132) 

 

There's no spoils with the price, but Grigor Dimitrov looks tough to beat in this match up. Despite sharing a 3-3 head-to-head record, Carreno Busta has only ever beaten Dimitrov on clay and after two convincing opening round wins over Marin Cilic & Alex Bolt, we think Dimitrov is worth a bet.

 

ğŸŽ¾  Both players to win 1+ set in Anastasia Potapova vs. Serena Williams (+235)

 

Call us crazy, but we can sniff a bit of an upset brewing. Serena Williams has been clinical in her opening two matches, however a knee injury nearly derailed her match in the second round and it might open the door for young Russian, Anastasia Potapova, to cause the veteran some headaches. After two convincing wins in the opening rounds, including a big win over 24th seed Alison Riske, the 19-year-old will be full of confidence and she is listed at a very nice price to win a set against Williams.

 

ğŸŽ¾  Elise Mertens to beat Belinda Bencic 2-0 (-125)

 

Belinda Bencic was kind to us yesterday (🤑) but we think her time is up. We’ve been on Mertens since the start of the tournament and we think she is a good thing to go through this match in straight sets. Bencic’s service game has been woeful, serving 23 double faults and opening up 24 break point opportunities in her opening two matches. Mertens is too good a player to let her get away with that. Take the German to win 2-0.

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*Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook and are correct at the time of publishing

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