NFL Predictions from 10,000 simulations
It’s the battle of the big birds in the Monday night spotlight when the Seattle Seahawks face off against the Philadelphia Eagles on the road.
Cookin’ Russell Wilson and his Hawks started hot this season but they have very much cooled down in recent weeks. Even still, they have managed to avenge all their losses this year so far and are doing enough to remain in strong contention for the NFC West title.
The Eagles have woes of their own and will need to contain Wilson and DK Metcalf – who has worn his cape when the Seahawks have needed him. When Carson Wentz throws less than 30 times Philly are 2-0. However, they’re 1-6-1 when he goes over 30 pass attempts. Given he leads the league with 18 turnovers, he’s going to have to tidy up that area of his game or hope Seattle, who has allowed 2,167 air yards – a full 313 yards more than any other team – allows him to slice through their defense.
Let’s break this one down further and see where the money lies in this clash! If you just want to see the numbers and player props, then our NFL Bet Hub has everything you need, too.
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The Seahawks opened the week as 5-point favorites but according to our data at the time of writing, the Eagles can get within that at home. The market looks to be underrating the Eagles and we think there’s some value in taking on the books with this one: Eagles to cover for us!
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After the 10,000 game simulations our supercomputer just ran, it showed an average scoreline of 27–23 in favour of the Seahawks. If the maths checks out, that would put the total game points at exactly 50 points. It would mean the books have literally hit the nail on the head with their Over/Under line of 50.5 and I wouldn’t be touching this with a ten-foot pole unless you know something we don’t. Don’t forget, the Eagles DON’T want to turn this into a shootout as Seattle has the scoring power to run away with the contest. Steer clear unless you’re feeling dangerous… if you’re feeling dangerous, play the Under.
Seattle won away here twice last season, we know they aren’t afraid to play in Philly. It would be a giant upset in MNF if the Eagles can steal a win and the implications would be huge for the Seahawks. We’ll play it safe and root for the Hawks!
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If you’re still here and looking for a bankroll sweetener, we’ll direct you to our NFL Bet Hub which covers this game's most likely touchdown scorers. You’ll see DK Metcalf is the obvious choice as the most likely touchdown scorer but have a look at the others to add to your same-game parlay. It's probably important to note that PointsBet allows you to create same-game parlays if you wish to do so. It’s the Seahawks in a close one in enemy territory!
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