NFL Predictions from 10,000 simulations
Mahomes vs. Brady. The Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Let’s go!
As you'll see in our NFL Bet Hub predictions below, our projections have this one going right down to the wire, with the underdog Bucs looking extremely good to cover what is a pretty small spread!
As well as simulating the spread, ML, and Over/Under, our data also covers touchdown scorers and is loving Tyreek Hill (again) here; so make sure you check out the player props for Chiefs @ Bucs!
RELATED: 5 Step Guide to Online Betting
As it stands, the spread for this one is sitting just above a FG and our computer has the Chiefs winning by just two points.
On the season, Kansas City is 6-4 against the spread, whilst Tampa Bay is 5-6.
This looks like an extremely tough market to crack with our projections lining up very closely to those of the sportsbooks' when it comes to the total match points.
But, if you're an Over bettor looking for a reason to back the offenses in this one, then these stats should help:
- Kansas City ranks second in air yards allowed (1,067)
- Kansas City averages 42.2 yards per drive, which is on pace to be an NFL record.
- Tampa Bay ranks fifth offensively (72.1%) in the red zone.
The best way to bet the Over this week is definitely to sign up to William Hill, where you will receive a free bet worth up to $500 upon first deposit.
Our computer (along with the general football hive mind) has the Chiefs as the most likely team to win the Super Bowl this season, rating them as a 20.4% chance of repeating.
For this game, we have them as a 56% chance to win, which at their odds may mean the Bucs are the smarter play.
🏈 Dimers' take-out
Tom Brady is 3-of-36 since Week 5 throwing passes 20+ yards downfield; a number he will want to improve on greatly going up against the best QB in the game. If you’re keen to add to the excitement with a sweat, check out the best NFL promos for Thanksgiving weekend!
Read our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews.