NFL 2020 Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars: Predictions, picks and bets

Last updated: Dec 20, 2023, 11:03AM | Published: Nov 4, 2020, 3:26AM

‍NFL Predictions from 10,000 simulations

It’s been appropriately dubbed the 'clash of the AFC South cellar-dwellers' as the Jacksonville Jaguars host the Houston Texans in NFL Week 9.

For these two teams, a second win of the season is up for grabs. For bettors, a chance to capitalize on two desperate teams looms large as they go toe-to-toe. Let’s break this one down and see where the value in the market lies.

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💪 Spread

With one eye cast on past performance this season, we can see that these teams have gone DREADFULLY ATS (against the spread) so far with Houston languishing at 1-6 and the Jags not much better at 2-5. After 10,000 simulations of this game – courtesy of DimersBOT – the average result of this game at time of writing sees Jacksonville getting within 6 points of the away team. If the opening spread of 7 points stays true, we’ll be taking the Jaguars at the spread.

🚀 Over/Under

The Texans and Jags go into this game as the 22nd and 26th-highest scoring team in the league, respectively. However, our model suggests the bookies have set the opening total points line a little low. Unless anything drastic happens between now and game day, if the market has the over/under set to around 50, we’ll be playing the over.

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💵 Moneyline

Fortune favors the bold and you’d be bold if cashing in on a Jaguars win. Our model runs the simulations and gives you the value against the market when making a play. If you like the Jags on their home deck and they win then it’s your shout for beers with the boys!‍

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🏈 Dimers' take-out

Watson and Minshew are both putting together solid seasons despite the fortunes of their respective teams. Big games from either of these two could be the key to this battle. If you’re looking to add in some anytime touchdown scorers to a parlay Fuller has scored 5 touchdowns in 7 games for Houston and could be a good play. On the other hand, James Robinson has scored 4 times on 7 occasions for Jacksonville and looks to be a great chance for another this week. Make the most of these picks with our spectacularly-identified list of NFL promos for this week, here.

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Jayden Collins

While Jayden Collins is primarily a graphic designer, he has been involved in the world of sports betting for almost 10 years and knows his way around a player prop or 10. When Jayden's not looking for the next best longshot single to bet on, you can find him playing Australian rules football for the Canterbury Cobras or sipping a Japanese single malt or blended whisky. Jayden experienced the lowest point of his betting career in June 2022, when he cashed out of a Golden State Warriors futures bet he placed at the beginning of the 2021-22 NBA season after hearing of Steph Curry's injury woes midway through the year. He gave up what would have been a $200 win in exchange for a measly $2.50 profit. A keen NBA and NFL fan, Jayden often spends his nights watching sports while nursing a glass of Suntory Toki Whisky and riding home a 5-leg parlay. Jayden lives and dies by "Our Boy Herb" and the Los Angeles Chargers, but is also a Chicago Bulls fan thanks to his dad's obsession with Michael Jordan.