NBA Playoffs 2020 Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game Five: Predictions, picks and bets

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September 25, 2020 1:36 AM

The Heat are on the verge of their first Finals appearance since 2014 on the back of Tyler Herro’s history-making performance in Game Four.

The Celtics though will start favorites for this one as they look to push the series out to a sixth game.

As you’ll see in our NBA Bet Hub predictions, we’re on the Celtics to win in what should be a close game 👇

 
Predictions based on 10,000+ simulations

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Heat +3.5

💵 Moneyline: Celtics (-162*)

☝ Over/Under: Total OVER 213

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🔥 BEST: Spread

Heat +3.5 has a 52% probability

Obviously, Miami is up 3-1 on the series, so to be able to take them as underdogs at the spread is a no-brainer! Even if Boston wins, the Heat should keep this close. 

💵 Moneyline

Celtics (-161*) to win has a 61% probability

Our model has been strong on the Celtics at the ML all series and on the brink of elimination, we’re taking them again. Even at -161*, they present the best value with a 61% of winning.

☝ Over/Under

Total Points Over 213 has a 51% probability

Game Four soared past this mark, with a total of 221 points being scored. The Over looks likely again with talent like Butler, Herro and Tatum on the court.

🏀 Dimers' take-out

Boston is playing to keep their season alive and based on our data, they should be able to push this one out.  If you’re keen for some action, check out our reviews of the sportsbooks in your state, here.

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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.