NHL 2020 Stanley Cup Finals Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars Game Four: Predictions, picks and bets

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September 24, 2020 11:40 PM

Tampa Bay stormed into the series lead on Wednesday night with a massive 5-2 win over Dallas.

The Lightning came into the series as strong favorites and could all but wrap up the series with a win in Game Four.

As you will see in our NHL Bet Hub predictions below, we have the Bolts doing just that 👇

 
Predictions based on 10,000+ simulations


Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Lightning ML (-165*)

💪 Puck line: Stars +1.5

☝ Over/Under: o5.5 total goals

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🔥 BEST: Moneyline

Lightning (-165*) to win has a 61% probability

Tamba Bay absolutely put on a show in Game Three and will be confident of grabbing another win as they look to wrap this series up in five.

💪 Puck line

Stars +1.5 has a 64% probability

The Stars covered in the first two games of the series and are a good chance of doing so in this one. Our model has them covering in 64% of simulations around this matchup.

☝ Over/Under

Total goals over 5.5 has a 4.5% edge against the sportsbooks

We correctly picked this to go Over last game and we’re going with it again. Our model has picked out a hole in the sportsbooks odds where they’re undervaluing the Over.

🏒 Dimers' take-out

Tampa was super impressive on offense last time out and will be keen to build on that. We like them to win Game Four in a high-scoring game. If you’re keen for some action, check out our reviews of the sportsbooks in your state, here.

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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.