NHL 2020 Stanley Cup Finals Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars Game Three: Predictions, picks and bets

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September 22, 2020 11:27 PM

The Tampa Bay Lightning held on to win Game Two and square the series on Monday Night and will be keen to build momentum.

The Lightning came into the series as favorites but the Stars have already shown it’s not going to be any kind of walkover.

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Will it be the Stars or Lightning that take the ascendancy in the Stanley Cup on Tuesday night? NHL Bet Hub predictions below πŸ‘‡

 

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

 

Dimers' Suggested Plays

πŸ”₯ BEST: Lightning ML (-160*)

πŸ’ͺ Puck line: Stars +1.5

☝ Over/Under: o5.5 total goals

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πŸ”₯ BEST: Moneyline

Lightning (-160*) to win has a 60% probability

Tampa Bay have been favorites for all three games so far and are even shorter odds this time than they were for Game Two. With the confidence of a win behind them, our model has them taking the lead in the series.

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πŸ’ͺ Puck line

Stars +1.5 has a 64% probability

Very short odds (-220*) for the Stars at the PL but after covering in both games so far, you can see why. Take this with confidence and build your parlays around it!

☝ Over/Under

Total goals over 5.5 has a 4.7% edge against the sportsbooks

Both games in this series have capped out at five goals but at plus money the over has to be played in this one.

πŸ’ Dimers' take-out

Tampa squared the series as expected last time and if the trend continues that our model believes, then it will be 2-1 to the Bolts after Game Three. If you’re keen for some action, check out our reviews of the sportsbooks in your state, here.

 

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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.