NHL Playoffs 2020 Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Game Five: Predictions, picks and bets


September 14, 2020 12:07 PM

The Dallas Stars will tonight look to advance to the Stanley Cup as they face the Vegas Golden Knights with a 3-1 series lead.

Dallas came out on top in Game Four with a 2-1 win where all three goals were scored in the second period.

Will the Stars close out or can the Golden Knights extend the series? NHL Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup


Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Stars +1.5
☝ Over/Under: o5.5
💵 Moneyline: Golden Knights (-175*)
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🔥 BEST: Puck line

Stars +1.5 has a 64% probability

Rarely do we get a team up 3-1 and +1.5 at the puck line. Vegas is favorites for this one but our model simply can’t look past Dallas to cover.

☝ Over/Under

Total goals over 5.5 has a 4.4% edge against the sportsbooks

Right now, our model is giving this game a 46% chance of going over 5.5 goals but with the +130 odds available, it’s the suggested play. Basically, despite being a slightly under 50% chance of coming off, this is still a much better probability than the sportsbooks are giving it.

💵 Moneyline

Golden Knights (-175*) to win has a 60% probability

Pretty low odds here but we can’t go past the Golden Knights at the ML. DimersBOT has run the simulations and has Vegas coming out on top 60% of the time in this one.

🏒 Dimers' take-out

The sportsbooks and our model still like the Golden Knights here but it should be close, which is why our top play is the Stars at the PL. If you’re keen for some action, check out the best sportsbooks in your state here.


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*Odds and probabilities correct at time of publishing.