Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/29/2026]

Seattle and Chicago will meet in MLS action at Lumen Field on Saturday, with kickoff at 4:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Chicago as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. Chicago prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between Seattle and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 36.8% chance of Seattle winning, a 38.3% chance for Chicago, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.9% chance of going over, according to our model.

Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chicago +138, Seattle +199

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Seattle @ +199 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +156 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Seattle 1-1 Chicago (11.7% probability)
• Seattle 1-2 Chicago (8.5%)
• Seattle 2-1 Chicago (8.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Seattle and Chicago in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to begin at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Chicago Fire
• Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 36.8% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 38.3% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.