NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/29/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET as Philadelphia takes on NY Red Bulls at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS game between NY Red Bulls and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 35.3% chance of NY Red Bulls winning, a 42.1% chance for Philadelphia, and a 22.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 66.2% chance of going over, according to our model.

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Philadelphia +113, NY Red Bulls +212

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY Red Bulls @ +212 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +212 via Polymarket

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY Red Bulls to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• NY Red Bulls 1-1 Philadelphia (9.6% probability)
• NY Red Bulls 1-2 Philadelphia (8.6%)
• NY Red Bulls 2-1 Philadelphia (7.8%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between NY Red Bulls and Philadelphia in MLS at Sports Illustrated Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union
• Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, NY Red Bulls have a 35.3% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 42.1% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.