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Read Article New York City vs. Chicago Fire prediction, odds, MLS picks [7/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get New York City vs Chicago Fire predictions for MLS Saturday.
NY City will square off with Chicago in MLS action at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLS model projects NY City as the most likely winner of the NY City vs. Chicago game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
New York City vs. Chicago Fire prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS matchup between NY City and Chicago, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 46.9% chance of NY City winning, a 29.9% chance for Chicago, and a 23.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60.6% chance of going over, according to our model.
New York City vs. Chicago Fire odds
We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| NY City | Chicago | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +155 | +180 | +275 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -162 | +135 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New York City vs. Chicago Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: NY City @ +155 via DraftKings
- Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -162 via DraftKings
According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New York City vs. Chicago Fire: Correct score predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NYC 1-1 CHI | 10.5% |
| NYC 2-1 CHI | 9.3% |
| NYC 1-0 CHI | 7.7% |
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
New York City vs. Chicago Fire game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between NY City and Chicago in MLS at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York City vs. Chicago Fire
- Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, NY City has a 46.9% win probability on Saturday, Chicago has a 29.9% win probability, and there is a 23.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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