New England Revolution vs. New York City prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/23/2026]

New England and NY City will lock horns in MLS action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 4:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects New England as the most likely winner in this New England vs. NY City prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

New England Revolution vs. New York City prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS game between New England and NY City, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 42.9% chance of New England winning, a 32.7% chance for NY City, and a 24.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 56.3% chance of going over, according to our model.

New England Revolution vs. New York City odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: NY City +210, New England +120

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

New England Revolution vs. New York City picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: NY City @ +210 via Fanatics
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +118 via DraftKings

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is NY City to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

New England Revolution vs. New York City: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• New England 1-1 NY City (11.4% probability)
• New England 2-1 NY City (9%)
• New England 1-0 NY City (8.4%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

New England Revolution vs. New York City game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between New England and NY City in MLS at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to start at 4:30 PM ET.

• Who: New England Revolution vs. New York City
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 4:30 PM ET/1:30PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, New England has a 42.9% win probability on Sunday, NY City has a 32.7% win probability, and there is a 24.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.