Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/29/2026]

Houston will square off with San Jose in MLS action at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Houston as the most likely winner in this Houston vs. San Jose prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's MLS game between Houston and San Jose, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 60.7% chance of Houston winning, an 18.8% chance for San Jose, and a 20.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61.6% chance of going over, according to our model.

Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: San Jose +426, Houston -150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Houston @ -150 via Novig
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +167 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-1 Houston win being the most probable:

• Houston 2-1 San Jose (9.9% probability)
• Houston 1-1 San Jose (9.4%)
• Houston 2-0 San Jose (9.1%)

Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between Houston and San Jose in MLS at Shell Energy Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Houston Dynamo vs. San Jose Earthquakes
• Date: Saturday, August 29, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Houston has a 60.7% win probability on Saturday, San Jose has an 18.8% win probability, and there is a 20.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.