Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/22/2026]

MLS action continues on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET as Philadelphia locks horns with Austin at Q2 Stadium.

Dimers' proven MLS model projects Philadelphia as the most likely winner in this Austin vs. Philadelphia prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLS matchup between Austin and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 29.0% chance of Austin winning, a 47.5% chance for Philadelphia, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58.4% chance of going over, according to our model.

Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Philadelphia -135, Austin +375

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Austin @ +375 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +138 via BetRivers

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Austin to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Austin 1-1 Philadelphia (10.9% probability)
• Austin 1-2 Philadelphia (9.4%)
• Austin 0-1 Philadelphia (8.3%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between Austin and Philadelphia in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Austin FC vs. Philadelphia Union
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Q2 Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Austin has a 29.0% win probability on Saturday, Philadelphia has a 47.5% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.