Austin FC vs. FC Dallas prediction, odds, MLS picks [8/16/2026]

Austin and Dallas are scheduled to meet in MLS action at Q2 Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 8:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Dallas as the most likely winner in this Austin vs. Dallas prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLS matchup between Austin and Dallas, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model indicates a 31.6% chance of Austin winning, a 43.6% chance for Dallas, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.3% chance of going over, according to our model.

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas odds

We have researched the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Dallas +135, Austin +200

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Dallas @ +135 via Bet365
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +135 via BetRivers

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas: Correct score predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Austin 1-1 Dallas (11.6% probability)
• Austin 1-2 Dallas (9.1%)
• Austin 0-1 Dallas (9%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Austin FC vs. FC Dallas game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between Austin and Dallas in MLS at Q2 Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Austin FC vs. FC Dallas
• Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Q2 Stadium

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Austin has a 31.6% win probability on Sunday, Dallas has a 43.6% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.