Nationals vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/16/2026]
Get Washington Nationals vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Sunday.
The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will lock horns in MLB action at Citi Field on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
The Mets will start Christian Scott (3-3, 3.45 ERA), pitting him against Jake Irvin (2-6, 5.79 ERA) for the Nationals.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner in this Nationals vs. Mets prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Nationals vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 62.3% chance of defeating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 55.9% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 52.2% chance of going over,.
Nationals vs. Mets odds [8/16/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (-138) / Mets -1.5 (+135)
- Moneyline: Nationals +157, Mets -150
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nationals vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets -1.5 @ +135 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ -150 via Bet365
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nationals vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 62.3% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
