Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/23/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Sunday, August 23, 2026.

The New York Yankees and Toronto bluejays are scheduled to meet in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.

The Yankees will have Carlos Rodón (4-2, 3.22 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Blue Jays have opted for José Soriano (10-6, 3.23 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 54.0% win probability over the Blue Jays.

This article offers a complete Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 54.0% chance of beating the Blue Jays.

According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 63.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 53.4% chance of going over.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees odds [8/23/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Blue Jays +1.5 (-178) / Yankees -1.5 (+175)
  • Moneyline: Blue Jays +118, Yankees -117

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ +175 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Blue Jays @ +118 via Bet365
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ +115 via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Blue Jays vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's MLB game between the Yankees and Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:35 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 54.0% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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