Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/9/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 59.9% win probability for the Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 3:05 PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays take on the Athletics at Sutter Health Park.
Brady Basso (1-2, 4.32 ERA) will start on the mound for the Athletics, pitting him against Braydon Fisher (3-4, 3.20 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. A's prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 59.9% chance of beating the Athletics.
According to our model, the Athletics (+1.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-108) / Athletics +1.5 (+100)
- Moneyline: Blue Jays -174, Athletics +170
- Total: Over/Under 9 (-110/+100)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Athletics +1.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Athletics @ 37¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 9 @ -110 via Fanatics
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Athletics to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Athletics and Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park is scheduled to begin at 3:05 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics
- Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
- Time: 3:05 PM ET/12:05PM PT
- Venue: Sutter Health Park
Conclusion
We predict the Blue Jays, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Athletics in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




