Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [9/9/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Dimers' simulation model projects a 59.9% win probability for the Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park.

The Toronto Blue Jays take on the Athletics in MLB action.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics MLB prediction for Wednesday, September 9, 2026.

MLB action continues on Wednesday at 3:05 PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays take on the Athletics at Sutter Health Park.

Brady Basso (1-2, 4.32 ERA) will start on the mound for the Athletics, pitting him against Braydon Fisher (3-4, 3.20 ERA) for the Blue Jays.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Blue Jays as the most likely winner in this Blue Jays vs. Athletics prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Blue Jays vs. A's prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Blue Jays and Athletics, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Blue Jays a 59.9% chance of beating the Athletics.

According to our model, the Athletics (+1.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 54.0% chance of going over.

 

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-108) / Athletics +1.5 (+100)
  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -174, Athletics +170
  • Total: Over/Under 9 (-110/+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Athletics +1.5 @ 50¢ via Polymarket
  • Moneyline: Athletics @ 37¢ via Novig
  • Total: Over 9 @ -110 via Fanatics

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Athletics to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Athletics and Blue Jays at Sutter Health Park is scheduled to begin at 3:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Blue Jays, with a 59.9% win probability, will likely beat the Athletics in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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