Cardinals vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [9/3/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 74.2% win probability for the Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB action at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, beginning at 10:10 PM ET.
Tarik Skubal (8-7, 2.84 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Dodgers, while the Cardinals have opted for Quinn Mathews (1-2, 5.03 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Cardinals vs. Dodgers prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
For more, dive into Tarik Skubal's pitching projections.
Cardinals vs. Dodgers prediction and odds
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dodgers a 74.2% chance of beating the Cardinals.
According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 57.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (+122) / Dodgers -1.5 (-127)
- Moneyline: Cardinals +270, Dodgers -270
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-108/+104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Dodgers -1.5 @ 56¢ via Polymarket
- Moneyline: Dodgers @ 73¢ via Polymarket
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 52¢ via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Thursday's MLB action between the Dodgers and Cardinals at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:10 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date: Thursday, September 3, 2026
- Time: 10:10 PM ET/7:10PM PT
- Venue: UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 74.2% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.




