Mariners vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/12/2026]
Get Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The New York Yankees will square off with the Seattle Mariners in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday, commencing at 7:05 PM ET.
The Yankees will start Will Warren (8-6, 4.18 ERA), up against Bryce Miller (4-6, 3.08 ERA) for the Mariners.
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner in this Mariners vs. Yankees prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mariners vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 55.5% chance of defeating the Mariners.
According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 60.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 58.2% chance of going over,.
Mariners vs. Yankees odds [8/12/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mariners +1.5 (-178) / Yankees -1.5 (+170)
- Moneyline: Mariners +120, Yankees -122
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mariners vs. Yankees picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Yankees @ -122 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -108 via Novig
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mariners vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Mariners at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:05 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026
- Time: 7:05 PM ET/4:05PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 55.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mariners in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
