Mariners vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/11/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Seattle Mariners-New York Yankees Predictions and Game Preview.
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Tuesday, August 11, 2026.

MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET as the Seattle Mariners take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees will start Ryan Weathers (5-7, 3.79 ERA), while the Mariners have opted for Bryan Woo (8-8, 4.31 ERA).

Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner in this Mariners vs. Yankees prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mariners vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB game between the Mariners and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 55.1% chance of defeating the Mariners.

According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 61.9% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 55.0% chance of going over,.

 

Mariners vs. Yankees odds [8/11/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Mariners +1.5 (-170) / Yankees -1.5 (+170)
  • Moneyline: Mariners +120, Yankees -122

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mariners vs. Yankees picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ +170 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Yankees @ -122 via Novig
  • Total: Over 8 @ +100 via DraftKings

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mariners vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB action between the Yankees and Mariners at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:05 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 55.1% win probability, will likely beat the Mariners in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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