Aug 19, 2026
MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox play [8/19/2026]
Read Article Padres vs. Mets prediction: San Diego favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Diego Padres vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The New York Mets and San Diego Padres will meet in MLB action at Citi Field on Wednesday, starting at 1:10 PM ET.
Robert Stock (0-2, 6.57 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mets, up against Michael King (8-8, 3.42 ERA) for the Padres.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Padres a slight edge with a 51.9% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Padres vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.
Padres vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Padres and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Padres a 51.9% chance of beating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.0% chance of going over,.
Padres vs. Mets odds [8/19/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+135) / Mets +1.5 (-138)
- Moneyline: Padres -125, Mets +122
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Padres vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -138 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +122 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +100 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Padres vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to commence at 1:10 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
- Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
- Time: 1:10 PM ET/10:10AM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Padres, with a 51.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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