Aug 25, 2026
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Read Article Padres vs. Mets prediction: San Diego favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/18/2026]
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Diego Padres vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The New York Mets will square off with the San Diego Padres, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Citi Field on Tuesday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will send Zac Thornton (3-3, 2.78 ERA) to the mound, up against Robbie Ray (10-7, 3.28 ERA) for the Padres.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Padres a slight edge with a 50.7% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a complete Padres vs. Mets prediction, including best bets and picks.
Padres vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Padres and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Padres a 50.7% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.5% chance of going over,.
Padres vs. Mets odds [8/18/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Padres -1.5 (+150) / Mets +1.5 (-153)
- Moneyline: Padres -110, Mets +111
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Padres vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -153 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +111 via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ -103 via BetRivers
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Padres vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB action between the Mets and Padres at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
- Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Padres, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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