Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Dodgers favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [8/21/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers predictions for MLB Friday.

Pittsburgh Pirates-Los Angeles Dodgers Predictions and Game Preview.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB prediction for Friday, August 21, 2026.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Pittsburgh Pirates in MLB action at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Friday, starting at 10:10 PM ET.

The Dodgers will have Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12-7, 2.60 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Pirates are going with Bubba Chandler (6-8, 4.23 ERA).

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner in this Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Yoshinobu Yamamoto's pitching projections.

Pirates vs. Dodgers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Dodgers, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Dodgers a 69.0% chance of beating the Pirates.

According to our model, the Dodgers (-1.5) have a 50.6% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 51.3% chance of going over.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers odds [8/21/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Run Line: Pirates +1.5 (+106) / Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Pirates +210, Dodgers -212

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Pirates vs. Dodgers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Run line: Pirates +1.5 @ +106 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Dodgers @ -212 via Novig
  • Total: Over 8.5 @ +115 via Novig

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Pirates vs. Dodgers game-day updates and essential details

Friday's MLB action between the Dodgers and Pirates at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled to begin at 10:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Dodgers, with a 69.0% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Friday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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