Phillies vs. Cardinals prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [8/11/2026]
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Tuesday.
MLB action continues on Tuesday at 7:45 PM ET as the Philadelphia Phillies square off with the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
The Cardinals will start Andre Pallante (12-6, 3.63 ERA), while the Phillies have opted for Cristopher Sánchez (15-4, 2.65 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Phillies as the most likely winner in this Phillies vs. Cardinals prediction.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Phillies a 61.9% chance of beating the Cardinals.
According to our model, the Phillies (-1.5) have a 50.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 58.1% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Cardinals odds [8/11/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+111) / Cardinals +1.5 (-113)
- Moneyline: Phillies -156, Cardinals +153
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Cardinals picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Phillies -1.5 @ +111 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Phillies @ -156 via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ -106 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Phillies at Busch Stadium is scheduled to start at 7:45 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Time: 7:45 PM ET/4:45PM PT
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 61.9% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
