Aug 26, 2026
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Read Article Phillies vs. Mariners prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [8/26/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Seattle Mariners will square off with the Philadelphia Phillies, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
Bryan Woo (9-8, 4.10 ERA) will start for the Mariners, while the Phillies have opted for Jesús Luzardo (11-5, 3.35 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Phillies a slight edge with a 52.9% win probability over the Mariners.
This article offers a complete Phillies vs. Mariners prediction, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Mariners, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 52.9% chance of beating the Mariners.
According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 60.7% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 59.3% chance of going over.
Phillies vs. Mariners odds [8/26/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+145) / Mariners +1.5 (-150)
- Moneyline: Phillies -120, Mariners +117
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Mariners picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mariners +1.5 @ -150 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mariners @ +117 via Novig
- Total: Over 6.5 @ -117 via Polymarket
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 6.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Mariners and Phillies at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to begin at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 52.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mariners in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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