Phillies vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/16/2026]
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET as the Philadelphia Phillies lock horns with the Minnesota Twins at Target Field.
Dean Kremer (2-4, 5.25 ERA) will get the ball for the Twins, while the Phillies have opted for Andrew Painter (2-8, 6.27 ERA).
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Twins a slight edge with a 50.7% win probability over the Phillies.
This article offers a complete Phillies vs. Twins prediction, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Twins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Twins a 50.7% chance of beating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 62.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 51.1% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Twins odds [8/16/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+156) / Twins +1.5 (-156)
- Moneyline: Phillies -106, Twins +104
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Twins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Twins +1.5 @ -156 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Twins @ +104 via Novig
- Total: Over 9.5 @ +113 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Twins game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Twins and Phillies at Target Field is scheduled to start at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Target Field
Conclusion
We predict the Twins, with a 50.7% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
