Sep 7, 2026
Mets vs. Marlins prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [9/7/2026]
Read Article Phillies vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [8/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Minnesota Twins and Philadelphia Phillies will lock horns in MLB action at Target Field on Sunday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.
The Twins will send Dean Kremer (2-4, 5.25 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Andrew Painter (2-8, 6.27 ERA) for the Phillies.
Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Twins a slight edge with a 50.6% win probability over the Phillies.
This article offers a complete Phillies vs. Twins prediction, including best bets and picks.
Phillies vs. Twins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Phillies and Twins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Twins a 50.6% chance of beating the Phillies.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 62.2% chance of covering the run line, while the 9.5-run over/under has a 52.8% chance of going over,.
Phillies vs. Twins odds [8/16/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Phillies -1.5 (+156) / Twins +1.5 (-160)
- Moneyline: Phillies -102, Twins +101
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Phillies vs. Twins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Twins +1.5 @ -160 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Twins @ +101 via DraftKings
- Total: Over 9.5 @ +111 via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Phillies vs. Twins game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Twins and Phillies at Target Field is scheduled to begin at 2:10 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins
- Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026
- Time: 2:10 PM ET/11:10AM PT
- Venue: Target Field
Conclusion
We predict the Twins, with a 50.6% win probability, will likely beat the Phillies in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
