Aug 31, 2026
Padres vs. Reds prediction: Why San Diego is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/31/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Rays prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [8/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays predictions for MLB Monday.
MLB action continues on Monday at 6:40 PM ET as the New York Mets lock horns with the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field.
Ian Seymour (9-5, 4.21 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Rays, pitting him against Robert Stock (0-3, 7.40 ERA) for the Mets.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Rays as the most likely winner in this Mets vs. Rays prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Rays prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB game between the Mets and Rays, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Rays a 56.5% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 61.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 50.8% chance of staying under.
Mets vs. Rays odds [8/31/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-135) / Rays -1.5 (+133)
- Moneyline: Mets +163, Rays -160
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Rays picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Mets +1.5 @ -135 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mets @ +163 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 8.5 @ +117 via Polymarket
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Mets to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Rays game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Rays and Mets at Tropicana Field is scheduled to start at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- Date: Monday, August 31, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: Tropicana Field
Conclusion
We predict the Rays, with a 56.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
EARLY BIRD PRICE
6 months of Dimers Pro
Full football season covered
NFL + College Football
One payment. Renews in 6 months.
Your Pro access is locked in for 6 months. Cancel or pause anytime.
Access to every sport, all season long.
Everything in Dimers Pro - not just football
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
