Mets vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Sunday's Subway Series matchup [9/13/2026]

The New York Yankees will square off with the New York Mets in MLB action at Yankee Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:35 PM ET.

The Yankees will send Cam Schlittler (13-6, 2.02 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Christian Scott (4-4, 3.80 ERA) for the Mets.

Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner in this Mets vs. Yankees prediction.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

For more, dive into Cam Schlittler's pitching projections.

Mets vs. Yankees prediction and odds

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Yankees a 60.0% chance of defeating the Mets. According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 59.6% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Run Line: Mets +1.5 (-127) / Yankees -1.5 (+127)
• Moneyline: Mets +163, Yankees -163
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110/+108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Run line: Mets +1.5 @ 56¢ via Novig
• Moneyline: Mets @ 38¢ via Polymarket
• Total: Over 7.5 @ -110 via bet365

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first pitch details

Sunday's MLB action between the Yankees and Mets at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:35 PM ET.

• Who: New York Mets vs. New York Yankees
• Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
• Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
• Venue: Yankee Stadium

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 60.0% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Sunday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.