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Read Article Home run predictions for Friday include Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz [6/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, June 19, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 19, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +588.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 23.0% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 22.3% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 21.1% |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 21.0% |
| Spencer Jones (Yankees) | 20.5% |
| Brandon Lowe (Pirates) | 19.2% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 19.1% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 18.6% |
| Marcell Ozuna (Pirates) | 18.6% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go deep, followed by Nick Kurtz (23.0%) and Ben Rice (22.3%).
Shea Langeliers and Jazz Chisholm are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Friday's home run picks [6/19/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Spencer Jones (Yankees) to hit a home run
- Probability: 20.5%
- Odds: +588
- Edge: 6.0%
- Game: Reds vs. Yankees (7:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Rhett Lowder
Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Spencer Jones rates as a value play at +588 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 6.0% edge.
With Rhett Lowder on the mound for the Reds, the data supports Jones as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 19, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Spencer Jones who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.0% edge at +588 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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