Home run predictions for Sunday include Pete Alonso, Kyle Schwarber [8/30/2026]

• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 20.8% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.7%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 19.1%
• Matt Olson (Braves): 18.9%
• Ronald Acuña (Braves): 18.8%
• Austin Riley (Braves): 18.1%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 17.9%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.8%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 17.7%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 16.9%

Our analysis shows Alonso leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.8% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (19.7%) and Cal Raleigh (19.1%).

Matt Olson and Ronald Acuña are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [8/30/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.4%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 3.9%
• Pitching matchup: Framber Valdez
• More game projections: Dodgers vs. Tigers prediction (1:40 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +950 with Fanatics, showing a 3.9% edge.

Set to face Framber Valdez in tonight's Dodgers-Tigers matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 30, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Pete Alonso, Kyle Schwarber and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +950 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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