Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Saturday has +810 odds [8/29/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, August 29, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for August 29, 2026

See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +810.

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 19.9% probability
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 19.3%
• Matt Olson (Braves): 19.1%
• Ronald Acuña (Braves): 19.1%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 19.0%
• Austin Riley (Braves): 18.2%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.6%
• Sean Murphy (Braves): 16.9%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 16.8%
• Michael Busch (Cubs): 16.5%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 19.9% chance to go deep, followed by Pete Alonso (19.3%) and Matt Olson (19.1%).

Ronald Acuña and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [8/29/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, surfaces today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.9%
• Odds: +810
• Edge: 3.9%
• Pitching matchup: Keider Montero
• More game projections: Dodgers vs. Tigers prediction (1:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +810 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.9% edge.

With Keider Montero on the mound for the Tigers, the data supports Tucker as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 15 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Pete Alonso and Matt Olson projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.9% edge at +810 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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