Home run predictions for Friday include Ronald Acuña, Michael Busch [8/28/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, August 28, 2026, feature Ronald Acuña as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 28, 2026

See which hitters join Acuña on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1080.

• Ronald Acuña (Braves): 20.4% probability
• Matt Olson (Braves): 20.1%
• Austin Riley (Braves): 19.6%
• Michael Busch (Cubs): 19.1%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 18.5%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 18.2%
• Sean Murphy (Braves): 18.0%
• Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): 17.7%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.7%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 17.6%

Our analysis shows Acuña leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.4% chance to go yard, followed by Matt Olson (20.1%) and Austin Riley (19.6%).

Michael Busch and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [8/28/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Carson Kelly (Cubs) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.9%
• Odds: +1080
• Edge: 5.4%
• Pitching matchup: Rhett Lowder
• More game projections: Reds vs. Cubs prediction (2:20 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Carson Kelly rates as a value play at +1080 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.4% edge.

Against Reds starter Rhett Lowder, the data supports Kelly as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 16 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 28, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Ronald Acuña, Matt Olson and Austin Riley projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Carson Kelly who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.4% edge at +1080 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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