Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +1300 odds [8/26/2026]

• Byron Buxton (Twins): 20.6% probability
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 18.6%
• Lawrence Butler (Athletics): 17.3%
• Royce Lewis (Twins): 17.0%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 16.9%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 16.9%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 16.8%
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 16.5%
• Ben Rice (Yankees): 16.5%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 16.4%

Our analysis shows Buxton leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 20.6% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (18.6%) and Lawrence Butler (17.3%).

Royce Lewis and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [8/26/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Jeff McNeil (Athletics) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.2%
• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 4.0%
• Pitching matchup: Connor Prielipp
• More game projections: Twins vs. Athletics prediction (9:05 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Minnesota slugger Jeff McNeil rates as a value play at +1300 with Fanatics, showing a 4.0% edge.

Set to face Connor Prielipp in tonight's Twins-Athletics matchup, the data supports McNeil as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 20 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 26, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Byron Buxton, Shohei Ohtani and Lawrence Butler projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Jeff McNeil who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +1300 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Wednesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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