Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Byron Buxton, Royce Lewis [8/25/2026]

• Byron Buxton (Twins): 22.3% probability
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 22.0%
• Royce Lewis (Twins): 18.2%
• Kody Clemens (Twins): 17.7%
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 17.6%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 17.3%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 17.1%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.0%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 16.9%
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 16.7%

Our analysis shows Buxton leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.3% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (22.0%) and Royce Lewis (18.2%).

Kody Clemens and Jo Adell are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/25/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Mickey Moniak (Rockies) to hit a home run

• Probability: 14.2%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.7%
• Pitching matchup: Andrew Alvarez
• More game projections: Rockies vs. Nationals prediction (6:45 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Colorado slugger Mickey Moniak rates as a value play at +950 with Fanatics, showing a 4.7% edge.

Against Nationals starter Andrew Alvarez, the data supports Moniak as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a night built around finding value in long-ball matchups.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of 13 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 25, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Byron Buxton, Shohei Ohtani and Royce Lewis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Mickey Moniak who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.7% edge at +950 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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