Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +500 pick for Monday [8/24/2026]

• Byron Buxton (Twins): 21.8% probability
• Jo Adell (Guardians): 20.3%
• Royce Lewis (Twins): 17.8%
• Munetaka Murakami (White Sox): 17.2%
• Kody Clemens (Twins): 17.2%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.0%
• Jake Burger (Rangers): 16.6%
• José Ramírez (Guardians): 16.6%
• Corey Seager (Rangers): 16.2%
• Josh Bell (Twins): 16.1%

Our analysis shows Buxton leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.8% chance to go deep, followed by Jo Adell (20.3%) and Royce Lewis (17.8%).

Munetaka Murakami and Kody Clemens are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/24/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Jo Adell (Guardians) to hit a home run

• Probability: 20.3%
• Odds: +500
• Edge: 3.6%
• Pitching matchup: George Klassen
• More game projections: Guardians vs. Angels prediction (9:38 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, Cleveland slugger Jo Adell rates as a value play at +500 with BetRivers, showing a 3.6% edge.

Set to face George Klassen in tonight's Guardians-Angels matchup, the data supports Adell as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of six home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 24, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Byron Buxton, Jo Adell and Royce Lewis projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Adell in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.6% edge at +500 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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