Home run predictions for Sunday include Jo Adell, Kyle Schwarber [8/23/2026]

• Jo Adell (Guardians): 24.2% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 22.7%
• José Ramírez (Guardians): 19.1%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 18.4%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 18.4%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 18.2%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 18.1%
• Bryce Harper (Phillies): 16.7%
• Jake Burger (Rangers): 16.3%
• Corey Seager (Rangers): 16.2%

Our analysis shows Adell leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.2% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.7%) and José Ramírez (19.1%).

Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [8/23/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Daulton Varsho (Astros) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.8%
• Odds: +880
• Edge: 5.6%
• Pitching matchup: Brady Basso
• More game projections: Athletics vs. Astros prediction (2:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Houston slugger Daulton Varsho rates as a value play at +880 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 5.6% edge.

Against Athletics starter Brady Basso, the data supports Varsho as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 23, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Jo Adell, Kyle Schwarber and José Ramírez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 5.6% edge at +880 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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