Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +368 pick for Saturday [8/22/2026]

• Jo Adell (Guardians): 27.6% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 24.0%
• José Ramírez (Guardians): 22.8%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 22.2%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 18.1%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 17.9%
• Nathaniel Lowe (Guardians): 17.5%
• Jake Burger (Rangers): 17.4%
• Bryce Harper (Phillies): 17.4%
• Munetaka Murakami (White Sox): 17.3%

Our analysis shows Adell leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.6% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (24.0%) and José Ramírez (22.8%).

Shohei Ohtani and Junior Caminero are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [8/22/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.

Jo Adell (Guardians) to hit a home run

• Probability: 27.6%
• Odds: +368
• Edge: 6.2%
• Pitching matchup: Gabriel Hughes
• More game projections: Guardians vs. Rockies prediction (8:10 PM EDT)

Ranked top of today’s home run projections, Cleveland slugger Jo Adell rates as a value play at +368 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 6.2% edge.

With Gabriel Hughes on the mound for the Rockies, the data supports Adell as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of 25 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 22, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Jo Adell, Kyle Schwarber and José Ramírez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Adell in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 6.2% edge at +368 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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