Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Yordan Alvarez [8/18/2026]

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 27.1% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 21.9%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 21.2%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 20.7%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 20.4%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 19.6%
• Max Muncy (Dodgers): 19.4%
• Byron Buxton (Twins): 18.7%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 17.9%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.7%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 27.1% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (21.9%) and Yordan Alvarez (21.2%).

Eugenio Suárez and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's home run picks [8/18/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 20.4%
• Odds: +475
• Edge: 3.0%
• Pitching matchup: Ryan Feltner
• More game projections: Dodgers vs. Rockies prediction (8:40 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +475 with BetRivers, showing a 3.0% edge.

Against Rockies starter Ryan Feltner, the data supports Tucker as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a weekly tradition where bettors focus on home run value plays across the slate.

Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.

Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 18, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.0% edge at +475 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Tuesday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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