Home run predictions for Saturday include Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani [8/15/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, August 15, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for August 15, 2026

See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +920.

• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 23.2% probability
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 21.3%
• Jake Burger (Rangers): 19.6%
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 19.4%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 19.3%
• Michael Busch (Cubs): 18.9%
• Corey Seager (Rangers): 18.8%
• Joc Pederson (Rangers): 17.8%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.8%
• Cal Raleigh (Mariners): 17.4%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.2% chance to go yard, followed by Eugenio Suárez (21.3%) and Jake Burger (19.6%).

Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Saturday's home run picks [8/15/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Yainer Diaz (Astros) to hit a home run

• Probability: 13.9%
• Odds: +920
• Edge: 4.1%
• Pitching matchup: Emerson Hancock
• More game projections: Mariners vs. Astros prediction (7:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Houston slugger Yainer Diaz rates as a value play at +920 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 4.1% edge.

Against Mariners starter Emerson Hancock, the data supports Diaz as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 15, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Eugenio Suárez and Jake Burger projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Yainer Diaz who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.1% edge at +920 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Saturday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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