Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Junior Caminero [8/10/2026]

• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 24.5% probability
• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 22.6%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 19.1%
• Kyle Tucker (Dodgers): 18.4%
• Wilyer Abreu (Red Sox): 17.4%
• Teoscar Hernández (Dodgers): 17.3%
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 16.8%
• Fernando Tatis (Padres): 16.7%
• Willson Contreras (Red Sox): 16.3%
• Bryce Harper (Phillies): 16.3%

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.5% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.6%) and Junior Caminero (19.1%).

Kyle Tucker and Wilyer Abreu are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Monday's home run picks [8/10/2026]

Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.4%
• Odds: +514
• Edge: 2.1%
• Pitching matchup: Noah Cameron
• More game projections: Royals vs. Dodgers prediction (10:10 PM EDT)

Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +514 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.1% edge.

Set to face Noah Cameron in tonight's Royals-Dodgers matchup, the data supports Tucker as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Junior Caminero projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.1% edge at +514 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Monday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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