Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +1200 odds [8/9/2026]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, August 9, 2026, feature Kyle Schwarber as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for August 9, 2026

See which hitters join Schwarber on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1200.

• Kyle Schwarber (Phillies): 22.2% probability
• Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers): 20.7%
• Yordan Alvarez (Astros): 20.4%
• Eugenio Suárez (Reds): 19.7%
• Pete Alonso (Orioles): 18.6%
• Gary Sánchez (Brewers): 17.7%
• Ben Rice (Yankees): 17.4%
• Junior Caminero (Rays): 17.3%
• Christian Walker (Astros): 17.1%
• Jazz Chisholm (Yankees): 16.8%

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.2% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (20.7%) and Yordan Alvarez (20.4%).

Eugenio Suárez and Pete Alonso are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's home run picks [8/9/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

David Hamilton (Brewers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.2%
• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 3.5%
• Pitching matchup: Connor Prielipp
• More game projections: Twins vs. Brewers prediction (2:10 PM EDT)

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger David Hamilton rates as a value play at +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.5% edge.

With Connor Prielipp on the mound for the Twins, the data supports Hamilton as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For August 9, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani and Yordan Alvarez projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's David Hamilton who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.5% edge at +1200 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Sunday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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