MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Marlins vs. Diamondbacks play [9/16/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Wednesday, September 16, 2026.

Today’s MLB picks for September 16, 2026 are here, with Marlins vs. Diamondbacks among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [9/16, updated 9:03PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, September 16, 2026.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 59.2%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Marlins vs. Diamondbacks at 54¢ odds. A 59.2% probability produces an edge of 5.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Diamondbacks ML (-127)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 59.3%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Diamondbacks ML carries a 3.4% edge and a probability of 59.3% at 56¢ odds, according to our model.
Diamondbacks -1.5 (+156)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 42%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)
Diamondbacks -1.5 vs. Marlins at 39¢ odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 42% probability in simulations.
Mariners vs. Angels over 7.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 2.5%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
A 2.5% edge and 55.5% probability make Mariners vs. Angels over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mariners vs. Angels matchup, per our model.
MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/16/2026
As of 9:03PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | 54¢ @ Novig | 5.3% | 59.2% |
| Marlins vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks ML | 56¢ @ Polymarket | 3.4% | 59.3% |
| Marlins vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks -1.5 | 39¢ @ Novig | 3.0% | 42% |
| Mariners vs. Angels | Over 7.5 runs | 53¢ @ Novig | 2.5% | 55.5% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/16/2026]
- Mariners vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Wednesday)
- Marlins vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Wednesday)
- Athletics vs. Rays (1:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Padres vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Mets (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
- Tigers vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 16, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks matchup and Diamondbacks ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.



