MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Marlins vs. Diamondbacks play [9/16/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Wednesday, September 16, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for September 16, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Wednesday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for September 16, 2026 are here, with Marlins vs. Diamondbacks among the top plays identified by our model across Wednesday’s MLB schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest baseball odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [9/16, updated 9:03PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s MLB best bets, ranked by edge for Wednesday, September 16, 2026.

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-117)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Marlins vs. Diamondbacks at 54¢ odds. A 59.2% probability produces an edge of 5.3%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Diamondbacks ML (-127)

Diamondbacks ML carries a 3.4% edge and a probability of 59.3% at 56¢ odds, according to our model.

 

Diamondbacks -1.5 (+156)

Diamondbacks -1.5 vs. Marlins at 39¢ odds shows a 3.0% edge, supported by a 42% probability in simulations.

 

Mariners vs. Angels over 7.5 runs (-113)

A 2.5% edge and 55.5% probability make Mariners vs. Angels over 7.5 runs a value play in the Mariners vs. Angels matchup, per our model.

 

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/16/2026

As of 9:03PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Prob.
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs 54¢ @ Novig 5.3% 59.2%
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Diamondbacks ML 56¢ @ Polymarket 3.4% 59.3%
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Diamondbacks -1.5 39¢ @ Novig 3.0% 42%
Mariners vs. Angels Over 7.5 runs 53¢ @ Novig 2.5% 55.5%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/16/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 16, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Marlins vs. Diamondbacks matchup and Diamondbacks ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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