MLB picks today: Wednesday's MLB best bets include Mets vs. Marlins play [9/9/2026]

Mets ML (+113)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Mets to defeat Marlins at +113 odds. A 52.2% probability produces an edge of 5.2%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Angels vs. Red Sox Over 9.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 52.2%
• Matchup: Angels vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Angels vs. Red Sox over 9.5 runs carries a 4.2% edge and a probability of 52.2% at +108 odds, according to our model.

Rays vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (+100)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Rays vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at +100 odds shows a 4.1% edge, supported by a 54.1% probability in simulations.

Rockies vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs (-127)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 59.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 3.8% edge and 59.7% probability make Rockies vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs a value play in the Rockies vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

Nationals vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Matchup: Nationals vs. Padres (4:10PM ET)

Nationals vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds presents a 3.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 51.5%.

Cubs vs. Brewers Over 7.5 runs (-113)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Cubs vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Cubs vs. Brewers at -113 odds, supported by an edge of 3.0%.

Reds vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Reds vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Reds vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds. A 54.9% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Astros vs. Phillies Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 51%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

A 2.9% edge on a 51% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Astros vs. Phillies matchup.

Giants ML (+115)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Giants (3:45PM ET)

Our model projects value on Giants to win at +115 odds. A 49.2% probability produces a 2.7% edge, making Giants the favorable ML play in today's matchup.

Mets vs. Marlins Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Mets vs. Marlins Over 8.5 runs at -108 odds shows a 54.5% probability and a 2.5% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Wednesday, 9/9/2026

As of 12:24AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [9/9/2026]

• Twins vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cardinals vs. Giants (3:45PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nationals vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rangers vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Wednesday)
• Guardians vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mets vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Astros vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Angels vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Wednesday)
• Rays vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cubs vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Wednesday)
• Reds vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for September 9, 2026, featuring plays such as Mets ML vs. Marlins and over 9.5 runs in the Angels vs. Red Sox matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.