MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Braves vs. Twins play [8/17/2026]

Braves vs. Twins Over 9 runs (-104)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 9 runs in Braves vs. Twins at -104 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 6.8%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Dodgers vs. Rockies Over 10.5 runs (-111)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

Dodgers vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs carries a 5.8% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -111 odds, according to our model.

Athletics vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Matchup: Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

Athletics vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 50.3% probability in simulations.

Pirates +1.5 (-150)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET)

A 4.1% edge and 64.1% probability makes Pirates +1.5 vs. Tigers a value play in the Tigers vs. Pirates matchup, per our model.

Twins +1.5 (-141)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Twins +1.5 at -141 odds presents a 3.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 62.1%.

Padres vs. Mets Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Padres vs. Mets at +117 odds, supported by an edge of 3.5%.

Twins ML (+117)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 49.6%
• Matchup: Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Braves-Twins to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +117 odds. A 49.6% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Pirates ML (+108)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 51.3%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET)

A 3.3% edge on a 51.3% probability makes Pirates to win at +108 odds a solid value play in today's Tigers vs. Pirates matchup.

Orioles vs. RaysOver 7.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Rays (6:05PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at -108 odds. A 54.9% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Marlins vs. Phillies Over 8.5 runs (+117)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Matchup: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marlins vs. Phillies Over 8.5 runs at +117 odds shows a 48.9% probability and a 2.8% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 8/17/2026

As of 4:38AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/17/2026]

• Orioles vs. Rays (6:05PM ET, Monday)
• Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Monday)
• Tigers vs. Pirates (7:05PM ET, Monday)
• Padres vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Monday)
• Braves vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• Athletics vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
• White Sox vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Monday)
• Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Monday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 17, 2026, featuring plays such as over 9 runs in the Braves vs. Twins matchup and over 10.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.