MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Red Sox vs. Blue Jays play [8/11/2026]

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Over 7.5 runs (+122)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 52.6%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Red Sox vs. Blue Jays at +122 odds. A 52.6% probability produces an edge of 7.5%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Astros vs. Giants Over 7.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Matchup: Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Astros vs. Giants over 7.5 runs carries a 6.3% edge and a probability of 57.3% at -104 odds, according to our model.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+111)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Rockies vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs at +111 odds shows a 6.3% edge, supported by a 53.7% probability in simulations.

Athletics ML (+150)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 46%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

A 6.0% edge and 46% probability makes Athletics at the moneyline a value play in the Rays vs. Athletics matchup, per our model.

Athletics +1.5 (-106)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

Athletics +1.5 at -106 odds presents a 5.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.1%.

Mets vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 56.2%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Mets vs. Braves at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 5.2%.

Royals vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Royals vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds. A 52.3% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Reds ML (+144)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Matchup: Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

A 4.2% edge on a 45.2% probability makes Reds to win at +144 odds a solid value play in today's Reds vs. White Sox matchup.

Reds vs. White SoxOver 8.5 runs (+108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 52%
• Matchup: Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +108 odds. A 52% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Brewers vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs (-104)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Brewers vs. Padres Over 7.5 runs at -104 odds shows a 54.9% probability and a 3.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 8/11/2026

As of 2:53AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [8/11/2026]

• Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Pirates vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Cubs vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mariners vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Tuesday)
• Red Sox vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Tuesday)
• Orioles vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Reds vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Phillies vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
• Brewers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Rays vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
• Astros vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Tuesday)
• Royals vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for August 11, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Red Sox vs. Blue Jays matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Astros vs. Giants matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.